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An Effective Simulation Technique to Evaluate Loss of Load Expectation

Published: 2 April 2013
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Abstract

Risk index of loss-of-load expectation is traditionally used to determine generation adequacy. However, be-cause responsibility of generation installation and demand increases with different entities, both generation and load need to be examined to evaluate the resource adequacy of today’s deregulated power systems. An electric utility’s main concern is to plan, design, operate and maintain its power supply to provide an acceptable level of reliability to its users. This clearly requires that standards of reliability be specified and used in all three sectors of the power system, i.e., generation, transmission and distribution. Reliability indices have been defined for the three sectors separately as well as for the bulk power system. Reliability criteria may be determined at the selected load points in the system for different combination of generators and transmission line failures. This paper presents an effective simulation method for the reliability assessment of reliability index, loss-of-load expectation (LOLE). This method is applied to Bangladesh Power System (BPS). BPS has a total installed capacity of around 6550 MW. The maximum demand of BPS is about 5700 MW. The relevant data of the generators and hourly load profiles are collected from the National Load Dispatch Center (NLDC) of Bangladesh and reliability index ‘LOLE’ is assessed for the last six years.

Published in Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering (Volume 1, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13
Page(s) 29-34
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2013. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Installed Capacity, Recursive Method, Forced Outage Rate (FOR), Bangladesh Power System (BPS), Prob-ability Density Function (PDF), LOLE

References
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Nahid-Al- Masood, Md. Khurram Monir Rabby, Mamun Rabbani, Mafruha Ahmed, Proteeti Peya. (2013). An Effective Simulation Technique to Evaluate Loss of Load Expectation. Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, 1(1), 29-34. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13

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    ACS Style

    Nahid-Al- Masood; Md. Khurram Monir Rabby; Mamun Rabbani; Mafruha Ahmed; Proteeti Peya. An Effective Simulation Technique to Evaluate Loss of Load Expectation. J. Electr. Electron. Eng. 2013, 1(1), 29-34. doi: 10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13

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    AMA Style

    Nahid-Al- Masood, Md. Khurram Monir Rabby, Mamun Rabbani, Mafruha Ahmed, Proteeti Peya. An Effective Simulation Technique to Evaluate Loss of Load Expectation. J Electr Electron Eng. 2013;1(1):29-34. doi: 10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13

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  • @article{10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13,
      author = {Nahid-Al- Masood and Md. Khurram Monir Rabby and Mamun Rabbani and Mafruha Ahmed and Proteeti Peya},
      title = {An Effective Simulation Technique to Evaluate Loss of Load Expectation},
      journal = {Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering},
      volume = {1},
      number = {1},
      pages = {29-34},
      doi = {10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.jeee.20130101.13},
      abstract = {Risk index of loss-of-load expectation is traditionally used to determine generation adequacy. However, be-cause responsibility of generation installation and demand increases with different entities, both generation and load need to be examined to evaluate the resource adequacy of today’s deregulated power systems. An electric utility’s main concern is to plan, design, operate and maintain its power supply to provide an acceptable level of reliability to its users. This clearly requires that standards of reliability be specified and used in all three sectors of the power system, i.e., generation, transmission and distribution. Reliability indices have been defined for the three sectors separately as well as for the bulk power system. Reliability criteria may be determined at the selected load points in the system for different combination of generators and transmission line failures. This paper presents an effective simulation method for the reliability assessment of reliability index, loss-of-load expectation (LOLE). This method is applied to Bangladesh Power System (BPS).  BPS has a total installed capacity of around 6550 MW. The maximum demand of BPS is about 5700 MW. The relevant data of the generators and hourly load profiles are collected from the National Load Dispatch Center (NLDC) of Bangladesh and reliability index ‘LOLE’ is assessed for the last six years.},
     year = {2013}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - An Effective Simulation Technique to Evaluate Loss of Load Expectation
    AU  - Nahid-Al- Masood
    AU  - Md. Khurram Monir Rabby
    AU  - Mamun Rabbani
    AU  - Mafruha Ahmed
    AU  - Proteeti Peya
    Y1  - 2013/04/02
    PY  - 2013
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13
    DO  - 10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13
    T2  - Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
    JF  - Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
    JO  - Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
    SP  - 29
    EP  - 34
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2329-1605
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20130101.13
    AB  - Risk index of loss-of-load expectation is traditionally used to determine generation adequacy. However, be-cause responsibility of generation installation and demand increases with different entities, both generation and load need to be examined to evaluate the resource adequacy of today’s deregulated power systems. An electric utility’s main concern is to plan, design, operate and maintain its power supply to provide an acceptable level of reliability to its users. This clearly requires that standards of reliability be specified and used in all three sectors of the power system, i.e., generation, transmission and distribution. Reliability indices have been defined for the three sectors separately as well as for the bulk power system. Reliability criteria may be determined at the selected load points in the system for different combination of generators and transmission line failures. This paper presents an effective simulation method for the reliability assessment of reliability index, loss-of-load expectation (LOLE). This method is applied to Bangladesh Power System (BPS).  BPS has a total installed capacity of around 6550 MW. The maximum demand of BPS is about 5700 MW. The relevant data of the generators and hourly load profiles are collected from the National Load Dispatch Center (NLDC) of Bangladesh and reliability index ‘LOLE’ is assessed for the last six years.
    VL  - 1
    IS  - 1
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh

  • Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh

  • Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh

  • Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh

  • Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh

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